Why Israel is so determined to launch a ground offensive in Rafah

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Blinken against Netanyahu's Rafah penetration scheme

Blinken opposes Netanyahu's scheme for Rafah invasion 02:10

Israel is wished to motorboat a crushed violative against Hamas successful Rafah, Gaza's southernmost town, a scheme that has raised world siren because of nan imaginable for harm to much than a cardinal Palestinian civilians sheltering location — successful summation to nan consequence of harming Israeli hostages who could beryllium held captive successful nan city.

Even arsenic nan U.S., Egypt and Qatar push for a cease-fire deal they dream tin avert an battle connected Rafah, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu repeated Tuesday that nan Israel Defense Forces would move successful connected nan metropolis "with aliases without a deal" to execute his government's stated extremity of destroying nan Hamas militant group successful consequence to its bloody Oct. 7 violent attack.

Under pressure, Netanyahu vows to bid Rafah incursion  

"We will participate Rafah because we person nary different choice. We will destruct nan Hamas battalions there, we will complete each nan objectives of nan war, including nan return of each our hostages," Netanyahu said Tuesday, nan time earlier he met visiting U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken. 

Secretary of State Antony Blinken meets pinch Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken meets pinch Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu successful Jerusalem connected Wednesday, May 1, 2024.  U.S. State Department Handout

Speaking Thursday astatine a memorial ceremonial for IDF soldiers killed successful Gaza, Netanyahu acknowledged "differences of sentiment within" his furniture astir really to proceed, but he added that a "decision was made," and "we will do what is basal to triumph and flooded our enemy, including successful Rafah."

Netanyahu is nether huge, opposing governmental unit from hostage families pushing for a cease-fire statement to bring their loved ones location from Gaza, and far-right members of his vulnerable conjugation government who've threatened to driblet their support for his activity if he accepts immoderate truce agreement. 

Israel has approved subject plans for its violative and has moved troops and tanks to confederate Israel successful evident mentation — though it's still chartless erstwhile aliases if it will happen.

About 1.4 cardinal Palestinians — much than half of Gaza's organization — are jammed into nan municipality and its surroundings. Most of them fled their homes elsewhere successful nan territory to flight Israel's onslaught and now look different wrenching move, aliases nan threat of facing nan brunt of a caller assault. They unrecorded successful densely packed shelter camps, overflowing U.N. shelters aliases crowded apartments, and are limited connected world assistance for food, pinch sanitation systems and aesculapian accommodation infrastructure crippled.

Why Rafah is truthful important

Since Israel declared warfare connected Hamas successful consequence to its unprecedented attack, Netanyahu has made it clear that his cardinal extremity is to destruct nan group's subject capabilities. 

Palestinians hold successful beforehand of h2o dispensers successful Rafah, Gaza, to meet their regular h2o needs April 17, 2024. Palestinians hold successful beforehand of h2o dispensers successful Rafah, Gaza, to meet their regular h2o needs April 17, 2024. Yasser Qudaih/Anadolu via Getty Images

Israel calls Rafah Hamas' past awesome stronghold successful nan Gaza Strip — a densely populated Palestinian territory that Hamas had controlled for almost 2 decades earlier this war. Operations crossed nan enclave person dismantled 18 of nan militant group's 24 battalions, according to nan IDF. But moreover successful bluish Gaza, nan first target of nan offensive, Hamas has regrouped successful immoderate areas and continued to motorboat attacks.

Israel says Hamas has 4 battalions successful Rafah and that it must nonstop successful crushed forces to topple them. Some elder militants could besides beryllium hiding successful nan city.

Why there's truthful overmuch guidance to Rafah offensive

The U.S. has urged Israel not to transportation retired nan cognition without a "credible" scheme to evacuate nan much than 1 cardinal civilians believed to beryllium taking refuge successful Rafah. Egypt, a strategical partner of Israel, that sits conscionable crossed Gaza's confederate separator from Rafah, has said an Israeli subject seizure of the separator — which is expected to beryllium demilitarized — aliases immoderate move to push Palestinians into Egypt would frighten its four-decade-old bid statement pinch nan Jewish state.

Israel's erstwhile crushed assaults, backed by devastating bombardment since October, person leveled immense parts of bluish Gaza and nan confederate metropolis of Khan Younis and caused wide civilian deaths, moreover aft removal orders were fixed for those areas. Gaza's Hamas-run Health Ministry puts nan decease toll successful excess of 34,000 and says astir of those killed person been women and children, though it does not separate betwixt civilian and combatant deaths.

Israel's subject says it plans to nonstop civilians successful Rafah to "humanitarian islands" successful cardinal Gaza earlier its offensive. It says it has ordered thousands of tents to group up caller camps for nan displaced. But it hasn't fixed specifications of its plan, and it remains unclear whether it's logistically imaginable to move truthful galore group each astatine erstwhile without causing moreover much suffering for a organization already exhausted by aggregate displacements and months of bombardment.

The U.N. Secretary-General renewed his warning that a subject violative successful Rafah would beryllium "an unbearable escalation, sidesplitting thousands much civilians and forcing hundreds of thousands to flee."

Some introduction points from Israel to Gaza successful nan northbound person been reopened recently, and nan U.S. has promised a new, impermanent larboard to bring successful much supplies by oversea will beryllium fresh successful weeks. But nan mostly of food, medicine and different worldly enters Gaza from Egypt done Rafah aliases nan adjacent Kerem Shalom crossing — postulation that would apt beryllium intolerable during an invasion.

The U.S. has urged Israel to opt for much pinpoint operations against Hamas successful Rafah, without a awesome crushed assault.

"We don't want to spot a awesome crushed cognition successful Rafah," U.S. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said aft Netanyahu's latest comments. "Certainly, we don't want to spot operations that haven't factored successful nan safety, information of" civilians taking refuge successful nan city.

Netanyahu's governmental calculations

The mobility of attacking Rafah carries dense governmental implications for Netanyahu. His authorities has been threatened pinch illness if he doesn't spell done pinch it. Some of his ultranationalist and blimpish belief governing partners could propulsion retired of nan conjugation if he signs onto a cease-fire woody that prevents an assault.

Critics of Netanyahu opportunity he's much concerned pinch keeping his authorities intact and staying successful powerfulness than successful Israel's nationalist liking — an accusation he's denied repeatedly.

One of his conjugation members, Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, said Tuesday that accepting a cease-fire woody and not carrying retired a Rafah cognition would magnitude to Israel "raising a achromatic flag" and giving triumph to Hamas.

On nan different hand, Netanyahu risks expanding Israel's world isolation — and alienating its apical ally, nan United States — if it does onslaught Rafah. 

His vocal refusals to beryllium swayed by world unit and his promises to motorboat nan cognition could beryllium aimed astatine placating his governmental allies, moreover arsenic he considers a cease-fire deal. Or, he could stake that world anger will stay mostly rhetorical if he goes up pinch nan attack. 

The Biden management has utilized progressively tougher connection to definitive interest complete Netanyahu's behaviour of nan war, but it has besides continued to supply weapons to Israel's military, and captious negotiated support.

    In:
  • Palestine
  • Antony Blinken
  • Hamas
  • Israel
  • Joe Biden
  • Gaza Strip
  • Benjamin Neta​nyahu
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Source cbsnews.com
cbsnews.com