New data reveals voters are shifting to this major political party ahead of heated 2024 rematch

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America is divided successful governmental statement affiliation heading into nan 2024 statesmanlike election, seeing 1 of nan astir evenly divided electorates successful nan past 2 decades, resurfaced investigation reveals.

A Pew Research Center study examined elector recognition crossed different ages, races, religions and acquisition levels, comparing really voters identified successful 1996 to caller information from 2023.

Fifty-one percent of Americans said they identified pinch nan Republican Party successful 1994, while 47% identified arsenic Democrats. The tables turned complete nan years, pinch 5% much of American voters identifying arsenic Democrats complete Republicans successful 2020. However, nan Pew results from 2023 uncover a important displacement successful statement affiliation this cycle, reporting that 49% of voters place arsenic Democrat aliases leaning Democrat, while 48% identify arsenic Republican aliases leaning Republican.

Additionally, astir 33% of respondents said they place arsenic being blimpish aliases mean successful 2023, while nan different broadside of nan aisle only sees 23% identifying arsenic wide Democrats aliases leaning liberal. 

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voting booth

Ranked prime voting comes successful aggregate forms and is utilized successful a wide assortment of states and localities astir nan U.S. (Paul Richards)

The canvass recovered that while Democrats remain nan statement of prime for astir Hispanic, Black and Asian voters, statement support among non-Hispanic White Democratic voters has dropped 21 percent points since 1996, falling from 77% to 56% successful 2023. 

Recent polls person recovered that contempt their advantage, Democratic support among number voters is shrinking. A caller Gallup canvass recovered that 19% of Black adults said they place arsenic thin Republican aliases Republican, while 66% place arsenic Democrat aliases thin Democrat, nan "smallest Gallup has recorded successful its polling, making love backmost to 1999."

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Among different property groups, Democrats support their advantage among young voters, while nan mostly of older individuals are Republican affiliated.

Former President Donald Trump arrives astatine Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson Airport successful Georgia

Former President Donald Trump arrives astatine Atlanta’s Hartsfield-Jackson Airport successful Georgia connected Wednesday to big a run fundraising event. (Robin Rayne for Fox News Digital)

Republicans person gained crushed among Hispanic voters successful caller years, tripling affiliation pinch their guidelines successful nan demographic complete nan past 2 decades from 3% to 9%.

Rural voters besides look to beryllium shifting towards nan GOP, pinch nan caller canvass showing nan statement holds a 25-point advantage complete Democrats, 60% to 35%, aft nan parties were evenly divided among voters successful 2008.

President Biden and erstwhile President Donald Trump are expected to compete successful a statesmanlike predetermination rematch successful November. While Biden won nan 2020 predetermination against Trump, Pew's study reveals a imaginable displacement successful nan governmental scenery that could beryllium echoed connected nan ballot this fall.

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Pew Research Center conducted nan surveys via telephone for nan results making love 1994 to 2018, and via online surveys from 2019 to 2023 among registered voters.

Aubrie Spady is simply a Production Assistant for Fox News Digital.

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