Goldman Sachs CEO warns inflation may prove 'stickier' than expected

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Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon warned Friday that ostentation whitethorn beryllium much difficult to conquer than antecedently expected aft back-to-back reports showed that value pressures wrong nan U.S. economy rebounded astatine nan commencement of nan year.

In his yearly missive to shareholders, Solomon said he is optimistic astir this twelvemonth arsenic his patient stands to use from a rebound successful capital-markets activity, moreover though prices could stay abnormally precocious for immoderate time.

"After years of easy monetary argumentation and fiscal stimulus, economical conditions tightened astatine nan fastest complaint successful 40 years, and yet location was not a recession," he wrote. "The U.S. system has proven much resilient than expected, and markets are predicting complaint cuts, though I deliberation ostentation whitethorn beryllium stickier than galore anticipate."

JANET YELLEN WARNS INFLATION DECLINE MIGHT NOT BE 'SMOOTH'

David Solomon, Goldman Sachs CEO

David Solomon, main executive serviceman of Goldman Sachs Group Inc., during a Bloomberg Television astatine nan Goldman Sachs Financial Services Conference successful New York connected Tuesday, Dec. 6, 2022. (Michael Nagle/Bloomberg via Getty Images / Getty Images)

Prices for everything including groceries, caller cars and wellness security surged successful 2021 and 2022 arsenic nan consequence of rampant inflation, which was caused by COVID-19 pandemic-induced disruptions successful nan world proviso chain, an highly tight labour marketplace and accrued user request fueled successful portion by stimulus cash. 

While ostentation has fallen considerably from a highest of 9.1% notched during June 2022, it remains supra nan Federal Reserve's 2% goal. And erstwhile compared pinch January 2021, soon earlier nan inflation situation began, prices are up a stunning 18.49%. 

WHY ARE GROCERIES STILL SO EXPENSIVE?

High ostentation has created severe financial pressures for astir U.S. households, which are forced to salary much for mundane necessities for illustration nutrient and rent. The load is disproportionately borne by low-income Americans, whose already-stretched paychecks are heavy affected by value fluctuations.

Consumers shop astatine a location betterment store

People shop astatine a location betterment shop successful Brooklyn connected Jan. 25, 2024, successful New York City. ((Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) / Getty Images)

But advancement connected ostentation has mostly flatlined since June, pinch nan user value scale hovering astatine aliases supra 3% for nan past 9 months, stoking concerns connected Wall Street complete nan anticipation of "stagflation." Stagflation is nan operation of economical stagnation and precocious inflation, characterized by soaring user prices arsenic good arsenic precocious unemployment.

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Solomon said that CEOs of multinational corporations person told him that economical conditions, peculiarly for lower-income consumers, person deteriorated, and they are seeing "behavioral changes" arsenic a result. 

"But nan Fed now has room to easiness if economical conditions commencement to deteriorate," he said.

Solomon besides called 2023 a "year of execution" for Goldman – which began pinch nan slope laying disconnected astir 3,200 employees, 1 of nan deepest rounds of occupation cuts ever for nan company.

"We took swift, decisive action to refocus nan firm’s strategy while astatine nan aforesaid clip strengthening our halfway businesses, and I’m proud of nan advancement we made," he said. "We put nan patient successful a stronger position for 2024 and beyond."

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